Indian retail today stands at an inflexion point where the sector is poised to take a giant leap. Jones Lang LaSalle’s latest research offering ‘India Retail – Opportunities in a Revolution’ explores the potential in the Indian retail real estate in the coming years.
Equity capital inflows touched USD 8.9 billion between January and September, registering a 46% Y-o-Y growth. The strong momentum in deal volume continued, with about 200 deals reported during this period, compared to 151 deals in the same period last year. The average deal size also increased to nearly USD 45 million in the first nine months of 2024 from about USD 36 million in 2023. Mid-sized deals, ranging between USD 10-50 million, represented 56% of the total investment inflows during this period.
India continues to exhibit strong economic growth prospects and business optimism is reflected in the increasing number of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in recent years. The traction in the number and volume of public issues lends credibility to an environment of higher corporate earnings, rising participation by retail and institutional investors, and availability of adequate liquidity in the market. With 123 fresh issues (As of 20th October 2024) across multiple sectors, 2024 has already surpassed the total number of IPOs witnessed in 2023.
‘Evara’ is a plotted development project situated within the 200+ acre integrated Wadhwa Wise City township, nestled in lush tropical green mountains housed amidst nature, but yet within easy access to urban areas like Navi Mumbai and Mumbai. Residents can enjoy a lifestyle hub with vibrant retail plazas, malls, high streets, and a state-of-the-art sports complex. All this in the midst of 53,000 acres of greenery with 70% open spaces and Superior air quality.
In a report ‘India Market Monitor Q3 2024 – Investments’, CBRE indicates a robust 46% Y-o-Y growth in real estate equity investments, totalling USD 8.9 billion in Jan-Sep ’24 —the highest-ever recorded since CY 2018, surpassing the USD 7.4 billion total equity investments for CY 2023. On a quarterly basis, equity investments in real estate stood at USD 2.6 bn in the Jul-Sep’24 period. Domestic investors (predominately developers) took the lead with ~79% share in equity capital inflows in Jul-Sep ‘24. Singapore-based investors accounted for nearly 73% of the total foreign capital inflows, followed by the United States (~22%). Developer activity picked pace in Jul- Sep ’24 quarter, accounting for a share of nearly 47% in total equity investments, followed by institutional & collective vehicle investors (~36%).
On the Yelahanka-Doddaballapur Main Road, Sattva Lumina spans 13 acres that houses studio, 1, 2, and 3 BHK homes in G+29 high-rise towers. The development is anchored by a 25,000 sq. ft. retail mall offering boutique shopping, vibrant cafés, and fine dining, turning everyday errands into moments of joy. Complementing these living spaces are carefully curated amenities—bloom gardens, cricket nets, and two expansive clubhouses spread over 50,000 sq. ft.—that bring the idea of community to life.
This long-term growth in real estate is underpinned by six salient growth levers which includes, rapid urbanization, infrastructure development, digitalization, demographic shifts, sustainability and investment diversification; all of which will form the bedrock for a quantum leap in Indian real estate by 2047. These long-term growth ingredients will be pivotal in the expansion of Indian real estate – from under a trillion currently, to potentially a USD 10 trillion market by 2047, accounting for a 14-20% share in the country’s GDP.
This strategic growth is expected to be driven by a focus on innovation as these companies seek to enhance their technological capabilities and market presence. Moreover, emerging technologies are projected to generate approximately 4.7 million tech jobs over the next five years across diverse sectors, including manufacturing, retail, education, finance, and insurance. This surge in job creation underscores the growing importance of technology across industries and highlights the need for a skilled workforce to meet the evolving demands of the digital economy.
Positioned close to major attractions such as Yashobhoomi (Asia’s largest convention center), IGI Airport (ranked among the world’s top 10 airports), Bharat Vandana Park (spanning 200 acres and one of Delhi’s largest parks, akin to Hyde Park and Central Park), and the upcoming diplomatic enclave with 39 embassies, the project is set to capture significant visitor traffic. The nearby Metrolite light rail system will further enhance accessibility. The project is expected to be completed by 2027 and to generate over Rs 4,200 crore in revenue during its lifecycle.
Mumbai and Pune together accounted for 63% of the total absorption in H1 2024, followed by southern cities (Bengaluru, Chennai and Hyderabad) at 29%. Mumbai’s share saw an increase from 25% in H1 2023 to 41% in H1 2024, the growth can be attributed to an increase in demand for grade-A warehouses in areas such as Bhiwandi, Panvel, Uran, Taloja, and Ambernath. NCR witnessed a significant decline in its share from 31% to 6% in the same period. Furthermore, Chennai reported absorption of 1.5 Mn sq ft in H1 2024, registering an increase of 191% over H1 2023 due to the low base effect.