Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: To say that Indian real estate is standing on a shaky foundation would be like stating the obvious. Pressure is increasingly building on Indian developers. High mortgage rates and the slowest economic growth in nearly a decade are taking a toll on demand. Costs are rising, too. The Price of steel and concrete has jumped to double digit. The pipeline of cash has already dried up.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: Indian banks lending to real estate sector grew by 10.4% in the fiscal year ended March 2010 to Rs.5.8 trillion, contributing nearly 17% of their loan book, according to RBI data. Since then it has nosedived and now the government also wants public sector banks to focus more on home loans and to streamline lending norms to the real estate sector.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: Many of these cash-strapped developers may find it difficult to get bank loans as well. Bank lending is the single largest source of funding for developers, who require funds primarily for construction finance but also to service debt.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis:During the boom, many developers dreamt of transforming the urban landscape with millions of square feet of homes, offices and malls and set off on an aggressive expansion financed with debt that at 6 per cent interest was cheap by Indian standards. When the going was good, they went overboard with over ambitious big-ticket projects in various cities, many of which still remain stalled.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: Leading developers are resorting to desperate measures like selling their land banks, half finished projects and other noncore assets to reduce the burgeoning debt burden. The situation is set to become worse as land banks have already started shrinking.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: Realty sector may appear to be bullish and project that downside is over with rosy forecast ahead, yet the decline in fortune is far from being over. As a matter of fact, the learning in the last four years has forced most of the leading players to restructure their project portfolio and shed the flab.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: The first visible sign of creditors losing patience came in October 2012 when two private equity funds, Citi Property Investors and JPMorgan Chase, initiated separate arbitration proceedings against BPTP on the grounds that it has failed to provide a time-bound exit for their respective investments in the company.
Track2Realty Exclusive-Yearly Analysis: Indian real estate companies are reeling under the burden of debt, so much so that the excess cash that they had borrowed has become a liability that they want to get rid of but are unable to relieve themselves due to various factors beyond their control. They are nonetheless trying all possible measures, from selling land bank to restructuring their portfolio. Track2Realty tries to assess the seriousness of the situation where many of the realtors are caught between the distress sale and the debt trap.
Track2Realty: Amidst a global economic slowdown as a consequence of the US fiscal cliff and Eurozone debt crisis, India’s growth forecasts too have been revised downward over the last three quarters of the year.
Track2Realty-Agencies: Blackstone Group LP is starting a new real estate fund focused on Asia as it seizes on a “golden moment” to buy and sell in the property market, its president said on Wednesday, Dec 5.