The home buyers have for long alleged that the RERA has failed to provide them substantial relief in the wake of project delay or defaults. Now the Allahabad High Court has also taken cognizance of the issue and has not only questioned reasons of non-execution but also asked for the roadmap as to how RERA Recovery Certificates would be executed.
A TV debate after the Union Budget 2022-23 caught one of the IPCs (Independent Property Consultant) off guard when the anchor categorically blamed him for real estate not getting its due with the budget. In his defence he could only argue that it is not about one specific report but all the industry reports are guilty of creating such a goodwill for the sector. The satisfactory voices were so profound that the policy makers too found the business capable of self-sustaining without any fiscal incentives.
The real estate market of Uttar Pradesh in general and Noida-Greater Noida in particular is hotbed of consumer grievances, ranging from delay to default and unmet promises to builder’s high handedness. As per the industry estimate nearly 40% home buyers’ grievances in India are reported to be from this market alone. It is hence no surprise that even when the Real Estate Regulatory Authority proposes to clean the market, the builders devise their own ways & means to dispose it.
The industry data of faster recovery and record home sales conceal more than it intends to reveal. The rosy outlook fails to address the fact that this is a K-shaped recovery where a handful of large developers with sound financials have grown at the cost of the large universe of the developers. More importantly, the sales registration data doesn’t differentiate between primary market sale and distress sale in the secondary market.
2022 won’t be an easy year for the average Indian home buyer in terms of making a conscious decision of buying a house. The fundamentals of the market and macroeconomic outlook indicates 2022 could be even more challenging than 2021 for more than one reason. The rising input cost of construction has put a serious question mark over the feasibility of the business in a price sensitive market. Many of the developers with thin profit margins are facing a catch-22 where the input cost hike is compelling for escalation but the demand side is not ready to absorb the hike.
Within the built environment of the Indian real estate there is still denial about too many parallels between the Indian and the Chinese real estate. Many even believe that the Indian economy is not that real estate dependent as the Chinese economy. Even when admitting the crisis in Indian real estate, it is diplomatically wrapped in the developer’s justification of not learning any lessons on part of the Indian developers.
Across the world the commercial real estate, most notably the retail and office spaces, have been hit the most due to Covid-induced new normal. It is hence being debated as to whether commercial real estate would be able to reinvent itself to remain relevant in the post-Covid world where the Work From Home and online shopping threatens to eat up the market share of till-recently lucrative business models of retail and office space. Track2Realty explores the need for innovation.
2021 was expected to be the year of recovery for the Indian real estate that weathered the black swan of Covid in the preceding year. Throughout the year the developers put up a brave face and the industry data of the top listed developers was enough to keep the prophets of doomsday in silence. However, the closer look at the sector and the large universe of the developers raises more questions than what it could answer during the turbulent year. Track2Realty looks in to look ahead.
I often get amused when I get into the details of the industry survey that shouts at the top of its voice – “All is Well”. Some of these industry reports claiming the business to be witness to higher consumer sentiment are based on the feedback of connected parties like developers, banks, financial institutions and private equity players. All in all, it’s a family cycle where everyone is desperate to beg, borrow or steal for sale. The most important stakeholder – the home buyer – whose sentiment is being tracked is better left out in this mutual appreciation club of vested interests.
When it comes to the recovery of the asset class, the market doesn’t spread its gift with equal generosity. The historic high growth curve of the stock market post Covid crash in March 2020 didn’t make every company’s share valuable. Similarly, in real estate there are certainly some clear winners & losers during the pandemic, finds Track2Realty analysis.