Leasing and buying activity in the commercial real estate market in India remained sluggish for the first quarter ended March 31 of calendar year (CY) 2012. The total absorption of office space declined 12% in Q1 compared to the Q4 of CY 2011.
When the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was to announce its annual monetary policy for 2012-13 on 17th April, there were widespread concerns of slowing economy, rising inflation, trade deficit of 4 per cent of GDP and drying FDI too emerging as a grace concerns
In addition to professionalism, enacting laws to enforce high standards of disclosure, transparency and corporate governance within the realty sector are also needed in order to minimize investor risk. Specifically with consumer interests in mind, there must be a redressal or complaint handling mechanism that provides much needed recourse against customer grievances.
Owing to global issues, liquidity is becoming a problem. Though the phase is temporarily, the concern cannot be ruled out. Indian real estate sector is banking on the fact that change will take place and market will come out of the situation.
Land is scarce and the only way in urbanisation is to go up where more FSI/FAR would mean increasing the supply and bringing the price down, goes an old philosophy of the Indian developers. In reality, nearly all the high rises across the Indian cities are high-end luxury projects and seem to fulfil the aspirational needs of the Richie Rich.
In 1959, Charles E Lindblom, the American political scientist, published a paper in the Public Administration Review entitled The Science of ‘Muddling Through’. In this, he contrasted what he called the ‘root method’ of decision-making with the ‘branch approach’.
Atul Modak: Why did bankers’ lobby not block the mutual funds then?
Pranay Vakil: Because the mutual funds lobby is larger than the bankers’ lobby. They could not do anything about it. The companies into mutual funds are so large, they might just foray into banking.
Sunil Dahiya: I have a copy of the circular which PNB got from the RBI and probably the managers are interpreting that in their own way. Now the circular that has been shared by the HO with the managers says that they will not take any exposure in housing loans, not even non-fund based.
The over-heated Mumbai property market is taking its toll on the property transactions and sales in Mumbai property is the lowest of the six major cities across the country. According to reports, over the last one year leading to December 2011, residential sales in Mumbai have dropped by 28 per cent.
If only the secondary market was any indicator of real estate growth, the argument that that the real estate market is turning bearish in Chandigarh would have been true. But while the prices have softened a bit in the city, the beneficiary is the periphery of Chandigarh that makes the overall property market in the city very bullish and overall economy vibrant.