Track2Realty Exclusive: Analysis of North zone (Delhi NCR)
Owing to sluggish global and domestic economic growth, high inflation and steep depreciation in rupee value, market sentiment remained subdued during the first three quarters of 2012. International brands are still positive about the Indian growth story.
Track2Realty Roundtable
Panelists—Dr Anil Sharma, CMD, Amrapali Group
Sunil Dahiya—Sr Vice President, NAREDCO & MD Vigneshwara Developers
Harmit Chawla—MD, HCorp Realty
PK Tripathi—President, Unitech
Moderator—Ravi Sinha, CEO & Managing Editor, Track2Realty
Ravi Sinha: Many of the developers have realised that focus on execution and not the land bank is the key. Companies which overleveraged their balance sheets or branched out into non-core areas have failed. Developers have also learnt it the hard way that real estate is a micro market business and fancy expectations of going pan-India can boomerang. Are not these tough lessons?
Track2Realty Exclusive: India Outlook remains positive
Though the Indian economy recorded one of the lowest growth rates in recent years in 2012, indications are that the economic growth rate may have bottomed out and is likely to improve from the current levels over the next six months or so.
Ravi Sinha: In 2013 when most of the PE Funds are maturing, they may not be investing again in the real estate. So, from where will you generate the funds?
Track2Realty Exclusive: Analysis of East Zone
The transaction activity registered in Kolkata in 2012 was down by 42% during Q1-Q3 2012 compared to the year ago period. The subdued demand is the result of the uncertainty prevailing in both the global as well as domestic markets. Most of the corporates have trimmed their expansion plans and instead looking at consolidation to optimize their real estate usage and bring down the costs.
Ravi Sinha: I have a question here, and I will be very frank with Mr Tripathi. Any journalist who writes on real estate finds it very amusing that the sector has always tried to put the ball in the government’s court. Since you have been part of the government, how far will you agree to this?
Track2Realty Exclusive: Analysis of South Zone
Bangalore is the only major metro in the country which saw a year-on-year increase in take-up of office space in 2012. The total take-up increased by 9% to 8.3 million sq ft in Q1-Q3 2012, from 7.7million sq ft in the year-ago period as a number of occupiers took-up space for their future requirement for consolidation and expansion.
Ravi Sinha: All said and done, land acquisition bill is going to be a reality. What are the issues that make you so critical of it? Is it just the fresh cost of acquisition?
Track2Realty Exclusive: West Zone Analysis–The cumulative take-up levels recorded between Q1-Q3 2012 in Mumbai and Pune were the lowest when measured up against transaction activity recorded during similar time frame since 2009. In Mumbai, the first three quarters of 2012 witnessed a total take-up of 2.4 million sq ft which was approximately 44% lower when compared to 2011. Similarly, transaction activity registered in Pune were in 2012 were down by 36% during the same time frame.
Ravi Sinha: The point here is how feasible are the wishful thoughts of the sector in 2013?
Sunil Dahiya: The commercial essence of our product has been taken out. Now the consumer is saying let me wait for something, and he is waiting in eternity for something better to come. What he is waiting for, we also don’t know. So, the consumer has been loaded with confusion, and we are loaded with a product which is dead.