A report by real estate firm Knight Frank says worldwide mainstream house prices marginally avoided falling into negative territory with prices rising on average by 0.1% in the three months to June 2011 and by 1.7% over a 12-month period.
Interest rate rises are beginning to bite in India, and housing markets in major cities weakened in 2010, says a report by the Global Property Guide.
Equity capital inflows touched USD 8.9 billion between January and September, registering a 46% Y-o-Y growth. The strong momentum in deal volume continued, with about 200 deals reported during this period, compared to 151 deals in the same period last year. The average deal size also increased to nearly USD 45 million in the first nine months of 2024 from about USD 36 million in 2023. Mid-sized deals, ranging between USD 10-50 million, represented 56% of the total investment inflows during this period.
During the first nine months of 2024, large deals (>200,000 sq ft) accounted for about 40% of the overall demand. Although a vast majority of these larger deals came from 3PL players, Engineering and FMCG segments also saw considerable large-sized deals. At the city level, industrial and warehousing space uptake in Delhi NCR was also driven by large sized deals, a marked deviation from 2023, wherein leasing activity was dominated by small sized deals. Almost 50% of the deals in the first nine months of 2024 were large sized in Delhi NCR.
Q3 2024 attracted USD 1.1 Bn inflows, 45% higher over Q3 2023. Office segment drove over half of the investments in Q3 2024, followed by residential with 33% share. Domestic investments accounted for 44% of the total investments during the quarter. Chennai & Mumbai cumulatively attracted 57% of the inflows in Q3 2024. Sustained confidence in Indian economy continued to drive institutional investments into the real estate sector, reaching USD 4.7 billion during the first three quarters of 2024, almost at par with the corresponding period in 2023. Following significant inflows in the first two quarters, Q3 2024 too registered healthy investment inflow of about USD 1.1 billion, reflecting a 45% YoY growth.
This long-term growth in real estate is underpinned by six salient growth levers which includes, rapid urbanization, infrastructure development, digitalization, demographic shifts, sustainability and investment diversification; all of which will form the bedrock for a quantum leap in Indian real estate by 2047. These long-term growth ingredients will be pivotal in the expansion of Indian real estate – from under a trillion currently, to potentially a USD 10 trillion market by 2047, accounting for a 14-20% share in the country’s GDP.
Average housing prices surged 12% YoY; Delhi NCR saw highest YoY growth. Delhi NCR & Bengaluru saw highest quarterly price rise at 16% & 8% respectively. Unsold inventory continued to drop sequentially amid robust demand. Pune saw the highest dip in unsold inventory followed by Ahmedabad and Chennai. Positive home buyer sentiment and steady demand have kept the momentum strong in residential market across major Indian cities. Average housing prices across the top eight Indian cities witnessed a 3% QoQ growth in Q2 2024. Interestingly, quarterly price movements at India level have been almost similar at about 3% for the last four quarters.
While 3PL players continued to dominate the demand with about 36% share, space uptake by players from engineering, FMCG and electronics segments was significant with 12-16% share each. Interestingly, both engineering and electronics segments witnessed over 1.7X times leasing activity in H1 2024, compared to the corresponding six-month period of 2023. Going ahead, driven by conducive industry-specific policies and an enabling regulatory framework, diverse segments are likely to propel the industrial and warehousing space demand in India.
The surge in demand for luxury housing has been primarily driven by a growing preference by affluent buyers seeking enhanced amenities and more spacious living areas that complement their multifaceted lifestyle. Additionally, the aspirational class has been on an upward trend, significantly driving luxury sales. Furthermore, the rise in NRI and astute investors in the Indian real estate market has considerably contributed to the heightened demand for luxury properties.
In contrast, with USD 0.3 billion of investments in office assets, the segment witnessed subdued activity in Q2 2024. Although the annual decline was significant at 83%, the QoQ drop was relatively modest at 41%. The surge in industrial & warehousing, and residential investments resulted in a healthy investment volume of USD 3.5 billion for H1 2024 at an overall level, making up for the slow start in first quarter. Foreign investments remained robust, accounting for 81% of the total inflows in Q2 2024, predominantly led by investors from the US and UAE.