Track2Realty: The Housing Sentiment Index (IIMB MB HIS) assessed by IIM Bangalore and Magicbricks forecasts that homebuyers across 8 of the 10 cities surveyed expect real estate prices to rise over the next six months. The aggregate Housing Sentiment Index (HSI) measured across 10 cities this quarter stood at 108. (An HSI score of 100 suggests the prices would remain static).
This quarter, the IIMB MB HSI buyer index includes two more cities, Ahmedabad and Kolkata, apart from Mumbai, Delhi, Hyderabad, Pune, Noida, Gurgaon, Bangalore and Chennai.
“The Indian real estate is bound to remain attractive in the medium term with faster growth expected in the Tier II cities. Competitively priced urban pockets such as Noida, where robust supply is backed with a promise of better infrastructure, received a thumbs-up from end users. However, active interest will take another 6-9 months as consumers expect prices to go up only after six months, post the 2014 elections.” explains Sudhir Pai, Business Head, Magicbricks.
Mumbai posted an HSI of 106, turning positive for the first time. Healthy demand from Navi Mumbai and Thane resulted in this gain. Infrastructure developments in Navi Mumbai including the Trans Harbor Link and the proposed Greenfield International Airport are turning this location into an attractive investment option.
Bangalore topped the list of cities with an HSI of 140 witnessing a further 15% jump in HSI from the previous quarter. Strong demand from the IT sectors and comparatively affordable prices make this city an attractive option.
Hyderabad, with an HSI of 97 witnessed a 4% drop this quarter. The Telangana issue weighed down sentiments in this city.
The Seller Survey introduced last quarter rose by 5% to 164 this quarter. Of the sellers, 38% are doing so to book profits while 30% want a bigger accommodation. Of the respondents, 24% are looking to sell property in the Rs 20-40 lakh range.
Key Findings of the Jan-Mar 2014 Report
- The National HSI remained positive at 108 and includes 10 cities beginning this quarter
- Mumbai witnessed positive HSI of 106 for the first time mainly due to surge in demand in Navi Mumbai
- Bangalore, with an HSI of 140, posted a further increase of 15% compared to the previous quarter
- The Telangana issue continued to weigh down sentiments in Hyderabad and dragged HSI down to 97, a drop of 4% from the previous quarter
- The Seller Index witnessed a 5% increase to post an HSI of 164.
Summarizing the findings, Uma Sitaraman, Lead Researcher, IIMB-Century Real Estate Research Initiative (CRERI) stated, “While the average waiting time has dropped to a little over 8 months this quarter, the range-bound increase witnessed across cities and sectors indicate that people are waiting for the election results to make real estate decisions. Clarity will set in based the election results and well after the new Government takes charge.”
Properties in the Rs 20-40 lakh range continue to be preferred with over 30% buyers in this range. Apartments are the preferred housing type with over 70% choosing to buy apartments.
