India’s housing markets mixed, says Global Property Guide
Interest rate rises are beginning to bite in India, and housing markets in major cities weakened in 2010, says a report by the Global Property Guide.
Interest rate rises are beginning to bite in India, and housing markets in major cities weakened in 2010, says a report by the Global Property Guide.
ICRA estimates the industrial and warehouse logistics park (IWLP) supply to grow by 13-14% YoY in FY2025 in the eight primary markets to around 424 million sq. ft. Moreover, the absorption is estimated to increase to 47 million sq. ft. in FY2025 (90% of incremental supply addition) from 37 million sq. ft. in FY2024, supported by strong consumption-led demand. The vacancy in the eight primary markets stood at 10% in FY2024 and is likely to remain at a similar level in FY2025.
Track2Realty: The global house price boom continues, with a new geographical twist. Housing markets surged during the year to Q2 2014 in Dubai, parts of Europe and the Pacific. In contrast, several Asian governments have implemented cooling measures, successfully restraining their housing markets, and the US housing market boom is weakening.
During the first nine months of 2024, large deals (>200,000 sq ft) accounted for about 40% of the overall demand. Although a vast majority of these larger deals came from 3PL players, Engineering and FMCG segments also saw considerable large-sized deals. At the city level, industrial and warehousing space uptake in Delhi NCR was also driven by large sized deals, a marked deviation from 2023, wherein leasing activity was dominated by small sized deals. Almost 50% of the deals in the first nine months of 2024 were large sized in Delhi NCR.
Average housing prices surged 12% YoY; Delhi NCR saw highest YoY growth. Delhi NCR & Bengaluru saw highest quarterly price rise at 16% & 8% respectively. Unsold inventory continued to drop sequentially amid robust demand. Pune saw the highest dip in unsold inventory followed by Ahmedabad and Chennai. Positive home buyer sentiment and steady demand have kept the momentum strong in residential market across major Indian cities. Average housing prices across the top eight Indian cities witnessed a 3% QoQ growth in Q2 2024. Interestingly, quarterly price movements at India level have been almost similar at about 3% for the last four quarters.
While 3PL players continued to dominate the demand with about 36% share, space uptake by players from engineering, FMCG and electronics segments was significant with 12-16% share each. Interestingly, both engineering and electronics segments witnessed over 1.7X times leasing activity in H1 2024, compared to the corresponding six-month period of 2023. Going ahead, driven by conducive industry-specific policies and an enabling regulatory framework, diverse segments are likely to propel the industrial and warehousing space demand in India.
The surge in demand for luxury housing has been primarily driven by a growing preference by affluent buyers seeking enhanced amenities and more spacious living areas that complement their multifaceted lifestyle. Additionally, the aspirational class has been on an upward trend, significantly driving luxury sales. Furthermore, the rise in NRI and astute investors in the Indian real estate market has considerably contributed to the heightened demand for luxury properties.
Of the eight major cities, Pune witnessed the steepest drop in unsold inventory levels. The 10% YoY decline in unsold units, highlights strong housing demand across the city. The reduction in unsold units coincides with a major 13% annual rise in average housing prices. This price growth was driven by substantial launches in the high-end and luxury segments. Key localities like Camp and Baner witnessed significant YoY price increases, ranging between 20-23%.
Third-party logistics players (3PL) continued to be the top occupiers of industrial and warehousing space, contributing to over 40% in the total warehousing demand. 3PL space uptake was driven by healthy activity in Chennai particularly. The city accounted for about 43% of the overall 3PL activity in the top five cities. Interestingly, at the Pan-India level, retail players accounted for 16% of the demand during the quarter, followed by engineering and automobile players with 12% share each.
Housing.com in collaboration with The Times of India, presented the ‘Right To Excellence – Real Estate Summit’ on March 15th, 2024, at the Crowne Plaza in Gurgaon. This summit aimed to convene numerous industry luminaries, market experts, thought leaders, and stakeholders to delve into the future trajectory of the technology and real estate sector in India.